Chapter II · The Ledger
Four practices,
three sectors.
A fuller accounting of the work: what each of our four practices does on a normal day, and what each of our three sectors looks like at close range, with the projects attached and the current disposition noted in the margin.
Part A · The practices
§ 1Foresight is the slowest of our four practices, and the least fashionable. It begins with the patient accumulation of weak signals: the news items, research papers, budget allocations and policy footnotes that would not normally travel across a single desk, much less across sectors. The patience is structural, not stylistic. Most sports organisations operate on a one to three year horizon, while the forces actually reshaping the sector, generative AI, athlete data ethics, climate regulation, the slow rewrite of fan behaviour, move on a ten year one. The gap between those two horizons is where this practice lives.
§ 2We separate hindsight, insight and foresight, and we are honest about which we are doing. Hindsight reads the past and projects it forward. Insight maps what is technically possible now. Foresight asks the harder question, which is what could happen and what we want to happen. Most organisations believe they are practising foresight when they are in fact producing insight, often dressed up as a trend report. AI accelerates insight; it does not replace foresight. What separates the two is human agency and future consciousness, and those still come from people, not algorithms.
§ 3From the scanning we build scenarios, not predictions. A scenario is a coherent story about what the world might look like under a particular set of assumptions; it is useful precisely when those assumptions turn out to be wrong, because it gives you a structured place to be surprised from. We typically work with three or four alternative scenarios at a time, then run the organisation back from the desirable one to today through a backcasting exercise. What needs to be true in year five, in year three, in year one. What does the federation, the hub or the fund actually do this quarter. The scenario gets the conversation going. The backcasting decides the budget.
§ 4The work then ends in briefs, six to ten pages each, grounded in foresight evidence rather than industry benchmarks. We write them for federations, funders and public agencies, and we reserve the right to publish the ones that do not find a commissioning home. The EU Sport Policy for 2028 to 2034 is being written now. The organisations that want to shape it need to be in the conversation in 2026, not in 2028.
§ 5A brief that is read but not used is half a brief. The fourth stage is facilitation: the workshops that translate the document into mandates, the follow up sessions where the scenarios are revisited against new signals, and the quiet checking, twelve months later, of what actually made it into next year's budget. This is the part that distinguishes a foresight cycle from a foresight report.
§Current foresight programmes4 entries
- 01Active
Strategic Foresight 4 Sport
Oslo · EU policy signal scanning
- 02Active
Space Insights — signal engine
21 insightful articles · 445 live signals
- 03Active
Sector Intelligence DB
CIVM method
- 04Launched
Foresight Leadership Programme
12-week, sport federations
§ 1Learn is the practice that translates foresight into capability. A brief that describes five trends is interesting; a coach who can spot three of them in her own club within a month, and adjust accordingly, is different in kind. We treat education as a method rather than a market. We do not innovate in education; we innovate through it, whether the sector is sport, space, energy, or any other where the work happens to be needed.
§ 2Each programme begins with an intake. We ask the commissioning organisation about the audience the work is for, the decisions those people will need to make over the next 12 to 24 months, and the gap between what they know now and what the role will require of them. From that conversation, our Universal Training Workspace produces personas, a context document, and a content plan. The personas are not generic learner archetypes; they are drawn from the people who will actually be in the room, and we name what each of them already does well so the programme can build on it rather than around it.
§ 3The curriculum is composed by an eight agent pipeline that runs over a 12 week structure. The output is concrete: a participant handbook, a facilitator guide, weekly slide decks, workbooks, rubrics, case briefs and reading lists, with a midpoint check and an end of programme evaluation. We write the curriculum ourselves rather than buying it in. The pipeline is imperfect, it improves quarterly, and we are open about which parts we trust without further review and which parts we still rewrite by hand. What we do not do is publish a generic course and rebrand it for a new audience.
§ 4Delivery happens live, with the platform underneath. Sportera, our learning management system, hosts the public catalogue, with free modules at the top of the funnel and the paid 12 week programme as the layer that builds culture inside an organisation rather than skill inside an individual. For federations and innovation hubs, the pattern is the same one we have used to build the sport practice itself: small pilot with a core team of four to eight people, then scale to the wider organisation once the language is shared and the muscle memory is in place.
§ 5The fourth stage is evaluation. We ask, six weeks in and again at week twelve, what the participants have actually changed in how they work. Across the programmes we have run so far, the most useful measure has been time recovered. We publish those numbers honestly, including the programmes that did not complete the full twelve weeks, because the value of an evaluation is in the ones that disappoint as much as in the ones that confirm.
§Learning platforms & programmes4 entries
- 01Active
Sportera LMS
20+ courses, sport sector
- 02Internal
Universal Training Workspace
Upskilling programmes
- 03In preparation
Foresight Leadership Programme
For executive, strategy, innovation teams
- 04Cross-sector
COLIN Education Innovation
Programme label across sectors
§ 1Project Hub is where a brief becomes a budget and a budget becomes a deliverable. We run the full European project pipeline in long hand: intake, sector pull, content generation, personalisation, document assembly, quality gate. In March MMXXVI, this pipeline produced forty-two proposals across twelve ecosystem member organisations in a single submission window.
§ 2We keep two rules. First, every project must be wanted by somebody other than us. Second, every project must produce something a non-academic reader can use. Consortia without a clear end-user are declined, politely. Our acceptance rate (two and a half times the average) is not as high as we would like; the rate of projects we are proud of, on reflection, is considerably better.
§EU-funded projects, a partial bill9 entries
- 01Active
SF4Sport
Strategic Foresight 4 Sport consortium
- 02Active
GreenTennis
Sustainability in tennis infrastructure
- 03Active
SafeTennis
Safeguarding education in tennis
- 04Active
Find Me
Platform for student-athletes
- 05Active
D-Engage
Esports for youth work
- 06Active
Springboard 2.0
Dual-career athletes
- 07Completed
COMPATH
Community pathways, 70+ at EAS Café
- 08Completed
ELCAMP
Entrepreneurship Bootcamp for Athletes
- 09Active
Consumo Justo
Fair Consumption for Young People
§ 1Amplify is the answer to a question that embarrasses most research organisations: after the report is written, what happens? Our answer is infrastructure — platforms, editions, and content engines that carry the work past the people who were already going to read it.
§ 2Two editions are now live. Space Insights publishes weekly to the European space audience; Sport Insights launched its v1.0 engine in April. Each runs on a five-agent pipeline with a 50-source registry, a published style guide, and a gatekeeper that writes directly to the database. Neither carries COLIN branding. Both earn their attention in the open.
§Platforms, editions, knowledge hubs3 entries
- 01Publishing
Space Insights
16+ dispatches, European space audience
- 02v1.0
Sport Insights
Launched April MMXXVI
- 03Internal
VoiceSport
Content infrastructure, Amplify Engine 1
Part B · The sectors
§ 1Sport is where our method is most mature. Seven years of EU-funded projects and a widening network of federations across Norway and EU have taught us what the sector can and cannot metabolise. It can metabolise honesty. It cannot metabolise jargon. We adjust accordingly.
§ 2Sport Singularity BV (Netherlands) now carries the commercial side of this work; COLIN remains the non-commercial research and project side. Sector intelligence is published under VoiceSport, with Sport Singularity branding, to earn attention on its own merit.
§Ongoing works6
- SF4Sport·
- GreenTennis·
- SafeTennis·
- Springboard 2.0·
- Find Me·
- Consumo Justo·
§In preparation4
- GROW-PADEL·
- AMPLIFY-SPORT·
- SAFE-AI CLUBS·
- MIRROR·
§Completed works11
- COMPATH·
- ELCAMP·
- NODOPE·
- Women-Up·
- Para-Limits·
- DCMENTOR·
- Springboard·
- Spinent·
- Active Development·
- Flying Forward·
- D-Engage·
§ 1Energy & Climate is our youngest sector and, at the moment, the quietest. We do not currently have a dedicated driver organisation. GreenTennis — our active consortium — demonstrates what a serious environmental programme looks like inside a sport federation: infrastructure, behaviour, and supply chain, all at once.
§ 2We are, deliberately, not rushing. The climate field already has plenty of organisations. We will add ourselves to the count when we can offer something the others do not — likely at the intersection with sport and space.
§Ongoing works2
- GreenTennis·
- Consumo Justo·
§In preparation3
- Circular economy programme pipeline·
- Green sport infrastructure pilots·
- Climate literacy modules (Learn)·
§ 1Space is our newest sector and, in many respects, our fastest. The Space Intelligence Database connects a network of 450+ space professionals with 600 funding calls and 445 live signals. Space Insights — a standalone edition, without COLIN branding — publishes to the European space audience weekly.
§ 2The strategic reasoning is straightforward. Public European space investment is accelerating faster than editorial capacity in the sector. We build the editorial capacity, open-source the signals registry, and earn the right to advise the organisations that then show up looking for a partner. We did the same in sport, ten years slower.
§Ongoing works4
- Space Insights — weekly edition·
- Space Intelligence DB·
- SI Space Industries partnership·
- Nordic market access programme·
§In preparation2
- Space funding radar (open calls)·
- Sector intelligence dashboard v2·
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— Collective Innovation
Oslo, vårutgave · MMXXVI